[Federal Register: August 30, 1996 (Rules and Regulations)] [Page 46316-46328]
From the Federal Register Online via GPO Access [wais.access.gpo.gov] [[pp. 46316-46328]]
Medicare Program; Changes to the Hospital Inpatient Prospective
Payment Systems and Fiscal Year 1997 Rates [[Continued from page 46315]]
VII. Impact of Changes in the Capital Prospective Payment System A. General Considerations
We now have data that were unavailable in previous impact analyses for the capital
prospective payment system. Specifically, we have cost report data for the third
year of the capital prospective payment system (cost reports beginning in FY 1994)
available through the June 1996 update of the Hospital Cost Report Information
System (HCRIS). We also have updated information on the projected aggregate amount
of obligated capital approved by the fiscal intermediaries. However, our impact
analysis of payment changes for capital-related costs is still limited by the
lack of hospital-specific data on several items. These are the hospital's projected
new capital costs for each year, its projected old capital costs for each year,
and the actual amounts of obligated capital that will be put in use for patient
care and recognized as Medicare old capital costs in each year.
The lack of such information affects our impact analysis in several ways. Specifically,
major investment in hospital capital assets (for example in building and major
fixed equipment) occurs at irregular intervals. As a result, there can be significant
variation in the growth rates of Medicare capital-related costs
per case among hospitals. We do not have the necessary hospital-specific budget
data to project the hospital capital growth rate for individual hospitals. Moreover,
our policy of recognizing certain obligated capital as old capital makes it difficult
to project future capital-related costs for individual hospitals. Under Sec. 412.302(c),
a hospital is required to notify its intermediary that it has obligated capital
by the later of October 1, 1992, or 90 days after the beginning of the hospital's
first cost reporting period under the capital prospective payment system. The
intermediary must then notify the hospital of its determination whether the criteria
for recognition of obligated capital have been met by the later of the end of
the hospital's first cost reporting period subject to the capital prospective
payment system or 9 months after the receipt of the hospital's notification. The
amount that is recognized as old capital is limited to the lesser of the actual
allowable costs when the asset is [[Page 46315]] put in use for patient care or
the estimated costs of the capital expenditure at the time it was obligated. We
have substantial information regarding intermediary determinations of projected
aggregate obligated capital amounts. However, we still do not know when these
projects will actually be put into use for patient care, the actual amount that
will be recognized as obligated capital when the project is put into use, or the
Medicare share of the recognized costs. Therefore, we do not
know actual obligated capital commitments for purposes of the FY 1997 capital
cost projections. We discuss in Appendix B the assumptions and computations we
employ to generate the amount of obligated capital commitments for use in the
FY 1997 capital cost projections. In Table III of this appendix, we present the
redistributive effects that are expected to occur between "hold-harmless" hospitals
and "fully prospective" hospitals in FY 1997. In addition, we have integrated
sufficient hospital-specific information into our actuarial model to project the
impact of the FY 1997 capital payment policies by the standard prospective payment
system hospital groupings. We caution that while we now have actual information
on the effects of the transition payment methodology and interim payments under
the capital prospective payment system and cost report data for most hospitals,
we need to randomly generate numbers for the change in old capital costs, new
capital costs for each year, and obligated amounts that will be put in use for
patient care services and recognized as old capital each year. We continue to
be unable to predict accurately FY 1997 capital costs for individual hospitals,
but with the more recent data on the experience to date under the capital prospective
payment system, there is adequate information to estimate the aggregate impact
on most hospital groupings. We present the transition payment methodology by hospital
grouping in Table IV. In Table V we present the results of the cross-sectional
analysis using the results of our actuarial model. This table presents the aggregate
impact of the FY 1997 payment policies. B. Projected Impact Based on the FY 1997
Actuarial Model 1. Assumptions In this impact analysis, we model dynamically the
impact of the capital prospective payment system from FY 1996 to FY 1997 using
a capital acquisition model. The FY 1997 model, described in Appendix B of this
final rule, integrates actual data from individual hospitals with randomly generated
capital cost amounts. We have capital cost data from cost reports beginning in
FY 1989 through FY 1994 received through the June 1996 update of the Hospital
Cost Reporting Information System (HCRIS), interim payment data for hospitals
already receiving capital prospective payments through PRICER, and data reported
by the intermediaries that include the hospital-specific rate determinations that
have been made through July 1, 1996 in the Provider-Specific file. We used this
data to determine the FY 1997 capital rates. However, we do not have individual
hospital data on old capital changes, new capital formation, and actual obligated
capital costs. We have data on costs for capital in use in FY 1994, and we age
that capital by a formula described in Appendix B. We therefore need to randomly
generate only new capital acquisitions for any year after FY 1994. All Federal
rate payment parameters are assigned to the applicable hospital. For purposes
of this impact analysis, the FY 1997 actuarial model includes the following assumptions:
<bullet> Medicare inpatient capital costs per discharge
will increase at the following rates during these periods: Average Percentage
Increase in Capital ------------------------------------------------------------------------
Costs per Fiscal year discharge ------------------------------------------------------------------------
1995....................................................... -0.53 1996.......................................................
5.06 1997....................................................... 5.21 ------------------------------------------------------------------------
<bullet> The Medicare case-mix index will increase by 1.4
percent in FY 1996 and 1.6 percent in FY 1997. <bullet> The Federal capital
rate as well as the hospital-specific rate is updated in FY 1996 by an analytical
framework that considers changes in the prices associated with capital-related
costs, and adjustments to account for forecast error, changes in the case-mix
index, allowable changes in intensity, and other factors. The FY 1997 update factor
is .7 percent. (see Addendum, Part III). 2. Results We have used the actuarial
model to estimate the change in payment for capital-related costs from FY 1996
to FY 1997. Table III shows the effect of the capital prospective payment system
on low capital cost hospitals and high capital cost hospitals. We consider a hospital
to be a low capital cost hospital if, based on a comparison of its initial hospital-specific
rate and the applicable Federal rate, it will be paid under the fully prospective
payment methodology. A high capital cost hospital is a hospital that, based on
its initial hospital-specific rate, will be paid under the hold-harmless payment
methodology. Based on our actuarial model, the breakdown of hospitals is as follows:
Capital Transition Payment Methodology ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FY 1997 FY 1997 Percent of FY 1997 percent of percent of Type of hospital hospitals
percent of capital capital discharges costs payments ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Low Cost Hospital........................................... 66 62 52 56 High
Cost Hospital.......................................... 34 38 48 44 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A low capital cost hospital may request to have its hospital- specific rate redetermined
based on old capital costs in the current year, through the later of the hospital's
cost reporting period beginning in FY 1994 or the first cost reporting period
beginning after obligated capital comes into use (within the limits established
in Sec. 412.302(e) for putting obligated capital in use for patient care). If
the redetermined hospital-specific rate is greater than the adjusted Federal rate,
these hospitals will be paid under the hold-harmless payment methodology. Regardless
of whether the hospital became a hold- harmless payment hospital as a result of
a redetermination, we have continued to show these hospitals as low capital cost
hospitals in Table III. Assuming no behavioral changes in capital expenditures,
Table III displays the percentage change in payments from [[Page 46316]] FY 1996
to FY 1997 using the above described actuarial model. Table III.--Impact of Final
Changes for FY 1997 on Payments Per Discharge FY 1996 payments per discharge --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Adjusted Average Hospital Hold Number of Discharges federal federal specific harmless
Exceptions Total hospitals payment percent payment payment payment payment --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Low Cost Hospitals.............................. 3,363 6,868,405 $411.84 54.85
$200.68 $15.75 $18.28 $646.55 Fully Prospective........................... 1,548
3,287,821 375.12 50.00 237.10 ........... 11.40 623.62 Rebase--Fully Prospective...................
1,483 2,743,898 371.61 50.00 218.24 ........... 27.88 617.74 Rebase--100% Federal
Rate................... 228 643,922 793.64 100.00 ........... ........... 0.25
793.89 Rebase--Hold Harmless....................... 104 192,764 335.30 46.49 ...........
561.32 59.11 955.72 High Cost Hospitals............................. 1,741 4,288,642
668.50 86.23 ........... 145.12 19.59 833.21 100% Federal Rate...........................
1,135 3,010,570 785.30 100.00 ........... ........... 2.23 787.53 Hold Harmless...............................
606 1,278,072 393.38 52.33 ........... 486.95 60.48 940.81 Total Hospitals.........................
5,104 11,157,046 510.50 67.15 123.54 65.48 18.78 718.30 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FY 1997 payments per discharge --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Adjusted Average Hospital Hold Number of Discharges federal federal specific harmless
Exceptions Total Percent hospitals payment percent payment payment payment payment
change --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Low Cost Hospitals................. 3,363 7,056,653 $471.51 63.97 $157.25 $12.43
$40.25 $681.44 5.40 Fully Prospective.............. 1,548 3,377,933 441.20 60.00
185.78 ........... 30.53 657.51 5.43 Rebase--Fully Prospective...... 1,483 2,819,103
438.15 60.00 171.01 ........... 54.23 663.39 7.39 Rebase--100% Federal Rate......
238 677,500 778.75 100.00 ........... ........... 2.63 781.38 -1.58 Rebase--Hold
Harmless.......... 94 182,117 407.13 56.47 ........... 481.80 144.04 1,032.97
8.08 High Cost Hospitals................ 1,741 4,406,184 694.20 89.74 ...........
117.32 49.69 861.21 3.36 100% Federal Rate.............. 1,173 3,160,803 779.30
100.00 ........... ........... 11.40 790.70 0.40 Hold Harmless..................
568 1,245,382 478.21 63.00 ........... 415.08 146.89 1,040.17 10.56 Total Hospitals............
5,104 11,462,838 557.11 74.17 96.80 52.75 43.88 750.54 4.49 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Under section 1886(g)(1)(A) of the Act, aggregate payments under the capital prospective
payment system for FY 1992 through 1995 respectively, were projected to equal
90 percent of payments that would have been payable on a reasonable cost basis
in each year. With the expiration of the capital budget neutrality provision,
we now estimate that there was an aggregate 27.50 percent increase in FY 1996
Medicare capital payments over the FY 1995 payments. We estimate
aggregate Medicare capital payments will increase by 6.77 percent
in FY 1997. We project that low capital cost hospitals paid under the fully prospective
payment methodology will experience an average increase in payments per case of
4.75 percent, and high capital cost hospitals will experience an average increase
of 2.86 percent. For hospitals paid under the fully prospective payment methodology,
the Federal rate payment percentage will increase from 50 percent to 60 percent
and the hospital-specific rate payment percentage will decrease from 50 to 40
percent in FY 1997. The Federal rate payment percentage for hospitals paid under
the hold-harmless payment methodology is based on the hospital's ratio of new
capital costs to total capital costs. The average Federal rate payment percentage
for hospitals receiving a hold-harmless payment for old capital will increase
from 52.33 percent to 62.81 percent. (We estimate the percentage of hold-harmless
hospitals paid based on 100 percent of the Federal rate will increase from 65.8
percent to 67.8 percent.) We expect that the average hospital-specific rate payment
per discharge will decrease from $123.54 in FY 1996 to $96.10 in FY 1997. This
is partly due to the 4.32 percent decrease in the FY 1997 hospital-specific rate
compared to FY 1996. We proposed no changes in our exceptions policies for FY
1997. As a result, the minimum payment levels will be: <bullet> 90 percent
for sole community hospitals; <bullet> 80 percent for urban hospitals with
100 or more beds and a disproportionate share patient percentage of 20.2 percent
or more; or, <bullet> 70 percent for all other hospitals. We estimate that
exceptions payments will increase from 2.61 percent of total capital payments
in FY 1996 to 5.97 percent of payments in FY 1997. The number and amount of exceptions
payments is expected to increase throughout the transition period. The projected
distribution of the payments is shown in the table below: Estimated FY 1997 Exceptions
Payments ------------------------------------------------------------------------
Percent of Type of hospital Number of exceptions hospitals payments ------------------------------------------------------------------------
Low Capital Cost.............................. 464 57 High Capital Cost.............................
348 43 ------------------------- Total.........................................
812 100 ------------------------------------------------------------------------
C. Cross-Sectional Comparison of Capital Prospective Payment Methodologies Table
IV presents a cross-sectional summary of hospital groupings by capital prospective
payment methodology. This distribution is generated by our actuarial model. [[Page
46317]] Table IV.--Distribution by Method of Payment (Hold-Harmless/Fully Prospective)
of Hospitals Receiving Capital Payments ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(2) Hold-harmless -------------------------- (3) (1) Total Percentage Percentage
No. of paid hold- Percentage paid fully hospitals harmless paid fully prospective
(A) federal (B) rate ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
By Geographic Location: All hospitals...........................................
5,104 13.0 27.6 59.4 Large urban areas (populations over 1 million)..........
1,584 15.3 34.8 49.9 Other urban areas (populations of 1 million or fewer)...
1,275 15.8 32.9 51.3 Rural areas.............................................
2,245 9.7 19.6 70.7 Urban hospitals......................................... 2,859
15.5 34.0 50.5 0-99 beds........................................... 697 16.4 27.4
56.2 100-199 beds........................................ 941 19.2 36.9 43.9 200-299
beds........................................ 576 14.4 36.6 49.0 300-499 beds........................................
478 10.3 34.5 55.2 500 or more beds.................................... 167 10.2
34.1 55.7 Rural hospitals......................................... 2,245 9.7 19.6
70.7 0-49 beds........................................... 1,175 7.0 14.6 78.5
50-99 beds.......................................... 656 12.5 21.6 65.9 100-149
beds........................................ 241 13.7 30.7 55.6 150-199 beds........................................
98 15.3 22.4 62.2 200 or more beds.................................... 75 8.0
41.3 50.7 By Region: Urban by Region.........................................
2,859 15.5 34.0 50.5 New England......................................... 160
6.9 25.0 68.1 Middle Atlantic..................................... 434 10.1 29.7
60.1 South Atlantic...................................... 418 20.1 40.2 39.7 East
North Central.................................. 480 9.6 30.0 60.4 East South Central..................................
162 22.8 34.6 42.6 West North Central.................................. 190 18.4
27.4 54.2 West South Central.................................. 367 27.8 46.0 26.2
Mountain............................................ 126 15.9 42.1 42.1 Pacific.............................................
474 12.7 31.2 56.1 Puerto Rico......................................... 48 10.4
25.0 64.6 Rural by Region......................................... 2,245 9.7 19.6
70.7 New England......................................... 53 7.5 15.1 77.4 Middle
Atlantic..................................... 84 10.7 15.5 73.8 South Atlantic......................................
297 11.8 25.6 62.6 East North Central.................................. 304 10.2
11.8 78.0 East South Central.................................. 278 9.7 31.3 59.0
West North Central.................................. 525 7.0 15.2 77.7 West South
Central.................................. 347 9.2 24.8 66.0 Mountain............................................
211 12.3 15.2 72.5 Pacific............................................. 141 11.3
15.6 73.0 Large urban areas (populations over 1 million).......... 1,779 15.2
34.5 50.4 Other urban areas (populations over 1 million or fewer). 1,180 15.8
32.2 51.9 Rural areas............................................. 2,145 9.6 19.5
71.0 Teaching Status: Non-teaching........................................ 4,019
13.5 26.6 59.8 Fewer than 100 Residents............................ 850 11.3 32.4
56.4 100 or more Residents............................... 235 9.4 27.7 63.0 Disproportionate
share hospitals (DSH): Non-DSH............................................. 3,178
12.3 24.0 63.7 Urban DSH: 100 or more beds................................ 1,409
15.4 36.1 48.5 Less than 100 beds.............................. 100 17.0 23.0
60.0 Rural DSH: Sole Community (SCH/EACH)....................... 156 11.5 18.6
69.9 Referral Center (RRC/EACH)...................... 27 7.4 37.0 55.6 Other Rural:
100 or more beds............................ 83 8.4 45.8 45.8 Less than 100 beds..........................
151 7.3 25.8 66.9 Urban teaching and DSH: Both teaching and DSH...............................
692 11.1 32.2 56.6 Teaching and no DSH................................. 339 11.2
29.8 59.0 No teaching and DSH................................. 817 19.2 37.7 43.1
No teaching and no DSH.............................. 1,111 16.7 32.5 50.9 Rural
Hospital Types: Non special status hospitals........................ 1,372 7.7
19.5 72.8 RRC/EACH............................................ 90 10.0 34.4 55.6
SCH/EACH............................................ 645 13.3 17.2 69.5 [[Page
46318]] SCH, RRC and EACH................................... 38 13.2 21.1 65.8
Type of Ownership: Voluntary........................................... 2,951
12.3 27.6 60.1 Proprietary......................................... 696 23.4 46.7
29.9 Government.......................................... 1,366 8.7 17.6 73.7
Medicare Utilization as a Percent of Inpatient Days: 0-25................................................
258 15.1 25.2 59.7 25-50............................................... 1,284
14.5 33.4 52.1 50-65............................................... 2,097 12.9
28.0 59.1 Over 65............................................. 1,374 10.8 21.6
67.5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
As we explain in Appendix B, we were not able to determine a hospital-specific
rate for 25 of the 5,129 hospitals in our data base. Consequently, the payment
methodology distribution is based on 5,104 hospitals. This data should be fully
representative of the payment methodologies that will be applicable to hospitals.
The cross-sectional distribution of hospital by payment methodology is presented
by: (1) geographic location, (2) region, and (3) payment classification. This
provides an indication of the percentage of hospitals within a particular hospital
grouping that will be paid under the fully prospective payment methodology and
under the hold-harmless methodology. The percentage of hospitals paid fully Federal
(100 percent of the Federal rate) as hold-harmless hospitals is expected to increase
to 27.5 percent in FY 1997. Table IV indicates that 59.4 percent of hospitals
are paid under the fully prospective payment methodology. (This figure, unlike
the figure of 66 percent for low cost capital hospitals in the previous section,
takes account of the effects of redeterminations. In other words, this figure
does not include low cost hospitals that, following a hospital-specific rate redetermination,
are now paid under the hold- harmless methodology.) As expected, a relatively
higher percentage of rural and governmental hospitals (70.7 percent and 73.7 percent,
respectively by payment classification) are being paid under the fully prospective
methodology. This is a reflection of their lower than average capital costs per
case. In contrast, only 29.9 percent of proprietary hospitals are being paid under
the fully prospective methodology. This is a reflection of their higher than average
capital costs per case. (We found at the time of the August 30, 1991 final rule
(56 FR 43430) that 62.7 percent of proprietary hospitals had a capital cost per
case above the national average cost per case.) D. Cross-Sectional Analysis of
Changes in Aggregate Payments We used our FY 1997 actuarial model to estimate
the potential impact of our changes for FY 1997 on total capital payments per
case, using a universe of 5,104 hospitals. The individual hospital payment parameters
are taken from the best available data, including: the July 1, 1996 update to
the Provider-Specific file, cost report data, and audit information supplied by
intermediaries. Table V presents estimates of payments per case under our model
for FY 1996 and FY 1997 (columns 2 and 3). Column 4 shows the total percentage
change in payments from FY 1996 to FY 1997. Column 5 presents the percentage change
in payments that can be attributed to Federal rate changes alone. Federal rate
changes represented in Column 5 include the 4.99 percent decrease in the Federal
rate, a 1.6 percent increase in case mix, changes in the adjustments to the Federal
rate (for example, the effect of the new hospital wage index on the geographic
adjustment factor), and reclassifications by the Medicare Geographic
Classification Review Board. Column 4 includes the effects of the Federal rate
changes represented in column 3. Column 4 also reflects the effects of all other
changes, including: the change from 50 percent to 60 percent in the portion of
the Federal rate for fully prospective hospitals, the hospital-specific rate update,
changes in the proportion of new to total capital for hold-harmless hospitals,
changes in old capital (for example, obligated capital put in use), hospital-specific
rate redeterminations, and exceptions. The comparisons are provided by: (1) geographic
location and (2) payment classification and payment region. The simulation results
show that, on average, capital payments per case can be expected to increase 3.9
percent in FY 1997. The results show that the effect of the Federal rate changes
alone is to decrease payments by 1.3 percent. The decrease attributable to the
Federal rate changes is more than offset by a 5.2 percent increase attributable
to the effects of all other changes. Our comparison by geographic location shows
that overall, urban hospitals will gain slightly less than rural hospitals from
the final rule changes (increases of 3.8 percent and 4.7 percent, respectively).
Payments per case for urban hospitals will decrease at about the same rate as
payments per case for rural hospitals (1.2 percent and 1.7 percent, respectively)
from the Federal rate changes alone. Urban hospitals will gain slightly less than
rural hospitals (5.0 percent compared to 6.4 percent) from the effects of all
other changes. By region, there is relatively little variation compared to some
previous years. All regions are estimated to receive increases in total capital
payments per case. Changes by region vary from a low of 2.1 percent increase (rural
hospitals of the West South Central region) to a high of 15.2 percent increase
(rural hospitals of the New England region). By type of ownership, government
hospitals are projected to have the largest rate of increase (5.1 percent, -1.5
percent due to Federal rate changes and a 6.6 percent positive offset from the
effects of all other changes). Payments to voluntary hospitals will increase 3.8
percent (a 1.3 percent decrease due to Federal rate changes and a 5.1 percent
[[Page 46319]] positive offset from the effects of all other changes) and payments
to proprietary hospitals will increase 3.4 percent (a 0.9 percent decrease due
to Federal rate changes and a 4.3 percent positive offset from the effects of
all other changes). Section 1886(d)(10) of the Act established the Medicare
Geographic Classification Review Board (MGCRB). Hospitals may apply for reclassification
for purposes of the standardized amount, wage index, or both. Although the Federal
capital rate is not affected, a hospital's geographic classification for purposes
of the operating standardized amount does affect a hospital's capital payments
as a result of the large urban adjustment factor and the disproportionate share
adjustment for urban hospitals with 100 or more beds. Reclassification for wage
index purposes affects the geographic adjustment factor since that factor is constructed
from the hospital wage index. To present the effects of the hospitals being reclassified
for FY 1997 compared to the effects of reclassification for FY 1996, we show the
average payment percentage increase for hospitals reclassified in each fiscal
year and in total. For FY 1997 reclassifications, we indicate those hospitals
reclassified for standardized amount purposes only, for wage index purposes only,
and for both purposes. The reclassified groups are compared to all other nonreclassified
hospitals. These categories are further identified by urban and rural designation.
Hospitals reclassified for FY 1997 as a whole are projected to experience a 4.5
percent increase in payments (a 0.8 percent decrease attributable to Federal rate
changes and a 5.3 percent positive offset attributable to the effects of all other
changes). Payments to nonreclassified hospitals will increase slightly less (3.9
percent) than reclassified hospitals (4.5 percent). Payments to nonreclassified
hospitals will decrease slightly more than reclassified hospitals from the Federal
rate changes (1.3 percent compared to 0.8 percent), but they will gain about the
same from the effects of all other changes (5.2 percent compared to 5.3 percent).
Table V.--Comparison Of Total Payments Per Case [FY 1996 Payments Compared to
FY 1997 Payments] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Average FY Average FY Portion Number of 1996 1997 attibutable hospitals payments/
payments/ All changes to federal case case rate change ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
By Geographic Location: All hospitals.............................. 5,104 718
746 3.9 -1.3 Large urban areas (populations over 1 million)..................................
1,584 823 852 3.6 -1.2 Other urban areas (populations of 1 million of fewer).................................
1,275 715 745 4.1 -1.1 Rural areas................................ 2,245 478 501
4.7 -1.7 Urban hospitals............................ 2,859 776 806 3.8 -1.2 0-99
beds.............................. 697 566 589 4.0 -1.3 100-199 beds...........................
941 705 732 3.7 -1.3 200-299 beds........................... 576 744 774 4.0 -1.3
300-499 beds........................... 478 801 830 3.7 -1.2 500 or more beds.......................
167 944 980 3.8 -0.9 Rural hospitals............................ 2,245 478 501
4.7 -1.7 0-49 beds.............................. 1,175 367 385 5.0 -2.0 50-99
beds............................. 656 447 468 4.8 -1.6 100-149 beds...........................
241 511 532 4.2 -1.7 150-199 beds........................... 98 511 540 5.6 -1.4
200 or more beds....................... 75 612 638 4.3 -2.0 By Region: Urban by
Region............................ 2,859 776 806 3.8 -1.2 New England............................
160 784 817 4.3 -1.9 Middle Atlantic........................ 434 813 848 4.2 -1.2
South Atlantic......................... 418 780 814 4.3 -1.1 East North Central.....................
480 727 749 3.1 -1.2 East South Central..................... 162 707 733 3.7 -0.8
West North Central..................... 190 772 809 4.8 -1.0 West South Central.....................
367 796 823 3.4 -0.4 Mountain............................... 126 775 797 2.7 -1.5
Pacific................................ 474 855 883 3.3 -1.7 Puerto Rico............................
48 305 326 6.8 -0.4 Rural by Region............................ 2,245 478 501
4.7 -1.7 New England............................ 53 606 698 15.2 -2.3 Middle Atlantic........................
84 497 525 5.6 -2.7 South Atlantic......................... 297 498 511 2.8 -2.0
East North Central..................... 304 482 510 5.9 -1.3 East South Central.....................
278 446 463 3.8 -1.8 West North Central..................... 525 454 477 5.2 -1.7
West South Central..................... 347 440 449 2.1 -1.3 Mountain...............................
211 504 534 6.1 -0.8 Pacific................................ 141 555 587 5.9 -1.3
By Payment Classification: All hospitals.............................. 5,104 718
746 3.9 -1.3 Large urban areas (populations over 1 million)..................................
1,779 807 836 3.6 -1.2 Other urban areas (populations of 1 million of fewer).................................
1,180 715 746 4.2 -1.1 Rural areas................................ 2,145 472 494
4.7 -1.8 [[Page 46320]] Teaching Status: Non-teaching...........................
4,019 622 645 3.8 -1.3 Fewer than 100 Residents............... 850 757 787 3.9
-1.2 100 or more Residents.................. 235 1,034 1,079 4.3 -1.2 Urban DSH:
100 or more beds................... 1,409 813 843 3.7 -1.2 Less than 100 beds.................
100 576 607 5.4 -1.2 Rural DSH: Sole Community (SCH/EACH).......... 156 449 486
8.1 -1.5 Referral Center (RRC/EACH)......... 27 533 541 1.5 -1.0 Other Rural:
100 or more beds............... 83 488 504 3.3 -2.5 Less than 100 beds.............
151 367 379 3.3 -2.2 Urban teaching and DSH: Both teaching and DSH..................
692 879 911 3.6 -1.2 Teaching and no DHS.................... 339 786 821 4.5 -1.1
No teaching and DSH........................ 817 710 737 3.9 -1.2 No teaching and
no DSH..................... 1,111 673 697 3.6 -1.1 Rural Hospital Types: Non special
status hospitals............... 1,372 439 458 4.2 -2.2 RRC/EACH...................................
90 559 573 2.6 -1.1 SCH/EACH................................... 645 470 502 6.8
-1.6 SCH, RRC and EACH.......................... 38 582 6.5 5.7 -1.4 Hospitals
Reclassified by the Medicare Geographic Classification Review
Board: Reclassification Status During FY96 and FY97: Reclassified During Both
FY96 and FY97. 379 662 685 3.5 -1.5 Reclassified During FY97 Only..............
98 673 732 8.7 2.0 Reclassified During FY96 Only.............. 230 652 661 1.4
-3.9 FY 97 Reclassifications: All Reclassified Hospitals............. 477 664
694 4.5 -0.8 All Nonreclassified Hospitals.......... 4,600 726 754 3.9 -1.3 All
Urban Reclassified Hospitals....... 159 756 782 3.5 -1.0 Urban Nonreclassified
Hospitals........ 2,700 778 808 3.8 -1.2 All Reclassified Rural Hospitals.......
318 570 604 5.9 -0.7 Rural Nonreclassified Hospitals........ 1,900 442 460 4.1
-2.2 Other Reclassified Hospitals (Section 1886 (D)(8)(B))................................
27 541 561 3.7 -1.8 Type of Ownership: Voluntary..................................
2,951 731 760 3.8 -1.3 Proprietary................................ 696 751 777
3.4 -0.9 Government................................. 1,366 625 657 5.1 -1.5 Medicare
Utilization as a Percent of Inpatient Days: 0-25.......................................
258 797 830 4.1 -2.0 25-50...................................... 1,284 843 875
3.9 -1.2 50-60...................................... 2,097 676 703 4.0 -1.2 Over
65.................................... 1,374 603 627 4.0 -1.3 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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Appendix B: Technical Appendix on the Capital
Acquisition Model and Required Adjustments Under section 1886(g)(1)(A) of the
Act, we set capital prospective payment rates for FY 1992 through FY 1995 so that
aggregate prospective payments for capital costs were projected to be 10 percent
lower than the amount that would have been payable on a reasonable cost basis
for capital-related costs in that year. To implement this requirement, we developed
the capital acquisition model to determine the budget neutrality adjustment factor.
Even though the budget neutrality requirement expires effective with FY 1996,
we must continue to determine the recalibration and geographic reclassification
budget neutrality adjustment factor, and the reduction in the Federal and hospital-specific
rates for exceptions payments. We continue to use the capital acquisition model
to determine these factors. The following data are used in the capital acquisition
model for FY 1997: the June 30, 1996 update of the cost reports for PPS-IX (cost
reporting periods beginning in FY 1992), PPS-X (cost reporting periods beginning
in FY 1993) and PPS-XI (cost reporting periods beginning in FY 1994), the July
1, 1996 update of the provider-specific file, and the March 1994 update of the
intermediary audit file. The available data still lack certain items that were
required for the determination of budget neutrality, including each hospital's
projected new capital costs for each year, its projected old capital costs for
each year, and the projected obligated capital amounts that will be put in use
for patient care services and recognized as old capital each year. Since hospitals
under alternative payment system waivers (that is, hospitals in Maryland) are
currently excluded from the capital prospective [[Page 46321]] payment system,
we excluded these hospitals from our model. We then developed FY 1992, FY 1993,
FY 1994, FY 1995, and FY 1996 hospital-specific rates using the provider-specific
file, the intermediary audit file, and, when available, cost reports. (We used
the cumulative provider-specific file, which includes all updates to each hospital's
records, and chose the latest record for each fiscal year.) We checked the consistency
between the provider-specific file and the intermediary audit file. We also ensured
that the FY 1993 increase in the hospital-specific rate was at least 0.62 percent
(the net FY 1993 update), that the FY 1994 hospital-specific rate was at least
as large as the FY 1993 hospital-specific rate decreased by 2.16 percent (the
net FY 1994 update), that the FY 1995 increase in the hospital-specific rate was
at least 0.05 percent (the net FY 1995 update), and that the FY 1996 increase
in the hospital-specific rate was at least 21.10 percent (the net FY 1996 update).
We were able to match hospitals to the files as shown in the following table.
------------------------------------------------------------------------ Number
of Source hospitals ------------------------------------------------------------------------
Provider-Specific File Only................................ 99 Provider-Specific
and Audit File........................... 5029 Other......................................................
1 ------------ Total................................................ 5129 ------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sixty-six of these hospitals had unusable or missing data. We were able to backfill
a hospital-specific rate for 41 of these hospitals from the cost reports as shown
in the following table. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
Number of Source hospitals ------------------------------------------------------------------------
PPS-VII Cost Reports....................................... 1 PPS-VIII Cost Reports......................................
2 PPS-IX Cost Reports........................................ 3 PPS-X Cost Reports.........................................
7 PPS-XI Cost Reports........................................ 28 ------------
Total................................................ 41 ------------------------------------------------------------------------
We did not have data for 25 hospitals, and had to eliminate them from the capital
analysis. These hospitals likely are new hospitals or hospitals with very few
Medicare admissions. This leaves us with 5104 hospitals and should
not affect the precision of the required adjustment factors. Next, we determined
old and new capital amounts for FY 1992 using the PPS-IX cost reports as the first
source of data. For FY 1993 amounts, we used PPS-IX and PPS-X cost reports as
the first source of data, weighting each cost report by the number of days in
FY 1993. For FY 1994 amounts, we used PPS-X and PPS-XI cost reports as the first
source of data, weighting each cost report by the number of days in FY 1994. We
were able to match 5,049 PPS-IX cost reports, 5,064 PPS-X cost reports, and 4,924
PPS-XI cost reports. In cases where cost reports could not be matched, we used
the provider-specific file for old capital information. Even in cases where a
cost report was available, the breakout of old and new capital was not always
available. In these cases, we used the old capital amounts and new capital ratios
from the provider-specific file. If these were missing, we derived the old capital
amount from the hospital-specific rate. Finally, we used the intermediary audit
file to develop obligated capital amounts. Since the obligated amounts are aggregate
projected amounts, we computed a Medicare capital cost per admission
associated with these amounts. We adjusted the aggregate amounts by the following
factors: (1) Medicare inpatient share of capital. This was derived
from cost reports and was limited to the Medicare share of total
inpatient days. It was necessary to limit the Medicare share
because of data integrity problems. Medicare share of inpatient
days is a reasonably good proxy for allocating capital. However, it may be understated
if Medicare utilization is high, and may be overstated because
it does not reflect the outpatient share of capital. (2) Capitalization factor.
This factor allocates the aggregate amount of obligated capital to depreciation
and interest amounts. Consistent with the assumptions in the capital input price
index, we used a 25-year life for fixed capital and a 10-year life for movable
capital, and an average projected interest rate of 6.7 percent. We also assumed
that fixed capital acquisitions are about one-half of total capital. In conjunction
with the useful life and interest rate assumptions, the resulting capitalized
fixed capital is about one-half of total capitalization. This is consistent with
the allocations between fixed and movable capital found on the cost reports. The
ratio we developed is 0.137, which produces the first year capitalization based
on the aggregate amount. (3) A divisor of Medicare admissions
to derive the capital costs per discharge amount. Since we must project capital
amounts for each hospital, we continued to use a Monte Carlo simulation to develop
these amounts. (This model is described in detail in the August 30, 1991 final
rule (56 FR 43517).) The Monte Carlo simulation is now used only to project capital
costs per discharge amounts for each hospital. We analyzed the distributions of
capital increases, and noted a slightly negative correlation between the dollar
level of capital cost per admission, and the rate of increase in capital. To determine
the rate of increase in capital cost per admission, we multiplied the lesser of
$3,000 or the capital cost per admission by .00006 and subtracted this result
from 1.2. (Increases for capital levels over $3,000 were not influenced by the
level of capital, so this part of the calculation was capped at $3,000.) We selected
a random number from the normal distribution, multiplied it by 0.17 (the standard
deviation) and added it to -0.04 (the mean) and then added 1 to create a multiplier.
This random result was multiplied by the previous result to assign a rate of increase
factor which was multiplied by the prior year's capital per discharge amount to
develop a capital per discharge amount for the projected year. To model a projected
year, we used the old and new capital for the prior year multiplied by 0.85 (aging
factor). The 0.85 aging factor is the average of changes in capital over its life
due to the gradual decrease in interest payments and the retirement of fully depreciated
capital. The aged new and old capital is subtracted from the projected capital
described in the previous paragraph. The difference represents newly acquired
capital. If the hospital has obligated capital, any increase in "old" capital
up to the total amount of obligated capital in FY 1993 and FY 1994 is assigned
to obligated capital. Any remaining obligated capital is assigned to FY 1995 up
to the amount of the modeled increase in capital for FY 1995. Even though obligated
capital must be put in use for patient care by October 1, 1994, the use of the
obligated capital may have started late in FY 1994 with only part of the "first
year" depreciation and interest realized in FY 1994. The remainder of the "first
year" depreciation and interest would be realized in FY 1995. With the exception
of certain hospitals about whom we have information to the contrary, we assume
that hospitals would meet the expiration dates provided under the obligated capital
provision. Hence, no obligated capital is assigned to years FY 1996 and later.
Once obligated capital is assigned, it is included with the "old" capital and
is capitalized into future years as part of "old" capital. The on-line obligated
amounts are added to old capital and subtracted from the newly acquired capital
to yield residual newly acquired capital, which is then added to new capital.
The residual newly [[Page 46322]] acquired capital is never permitted to be less
than zero. Next, we computed the average total capital cost per discharge from
the capital costs that were generated by the model and compared the results to
total capital costs per discharge that we had projected independently of the model.
We adjusted the newly acquired capital amounts proportionately, so that the total
capital costs per discharge generated by the model match the independently projected
capital costs per discharge. Once each hospital's capital-related costs are generated,
the model projects capital payments. We use the actual payment parameters (for
example, the case-mix index and the geographic adjustment factor) that are applicable
to the specific hospital. To project capital payments, the model first assigns
the applicable payment methodology (fully prospective or hold-harmless) to the
hospital. If available, the model uses the payment methodology indicated in the
PPS-IX cost reports or the provider-specific file. Otherwise, the model determines
the methodology by comparing the hospital's FY 1992 hospital-specific rate to
the adjusted Federal rate applicable to the hospital. The model simulates Federal
rate payments using the assigned payment parameters and hospital-specific estimated
outlier payments. The case-mix index for a hospital is derived from the FY 1995
MedPAR file using the FY 1997 DRG relative weights published in this final rule.
The case-mix index is increased each year after FY 1995 based on analysis of past
experiences in case-mix increases. We analyzed the case-mix increases for the
recent past and found that case-mix increases have decelerated to about 1.53 percent
in FY 1992, 0.80 percent in FY 1993, and 0.75 percent in FY 1994. It appears that
the case-mix increase for FY 1995 accelerated to around 1.6 percent. Early indications
show that FY 1996 case-mix is increasing at FY 1995 level, that is, approximately
1.6 percent. Thus, it appears that the deceleration of case-mix increases in FY
1993 and FY 1994 were anamolous, rather than the beginning of a trend. Therefore,
in the model we are using the recent experience and have used a case-mix increase
of 1.6 percent in FY 1995 and a projected case-mix increase of 1.6 percent in
both FY 1996 and FY 1997. (Since we are using FY 1995 cases for our analysis,
the FY 1995 increase in case mix has no effect on projected capital payments.)
Changes in geographic classification and revisions to the hospital wage data used
to establish the hospital wage index affect the geographic adjustment factor.
Changes in the DRG classification system and the relative weights affect the case-mix
index. Section 1886(g)(1)(A) of the Act requires that, for discharges occurring
after September 30, 1993, the unadjusted standard Federal rate be reduced by 7.4
percent. Consequently, the model reduces the unadjusted standard Federal rate
by 7.4 percent effective in FY 1994. Since budget neutrality expires effective
with FY 1996, this adjustment affects the adjusted Federal rate starting in FY
1996. Section 412.308(c)(4)(ii) requires that the estimated aggregate payments
for the fiscal year, based on the Federal rate after any changes resulting from
DRG reclassifications and recalibration and the geographic adjustment factor,
equal the estimated aggregate payments based on the Federal rate that would have
been made without such changes. For FY 1996, the budget neutrality adjustment
factor was 1.0025. To determine the factor for FY 1997, we first determined the
portion of the Federal rate that would be paid for each hospital in FY 1997 based
on its applicable payment methodology. Using our model, we then compared estimated
aggregate Federal rate payments based on the FY 1996 DRG relative weights and
the FY 1996 geographic adjustment factor to estimated aggregate Federal rate payments
based on the FY 1997 relative weights and the FY 1997 geographic adjustment factor.
In making the comparison, we held the FY 1997 Federal rate portion constant and
set the other budget neutrality adjustment factor and the exceptions reduction
factor to 1.00. We determined that to achieve budget neutrality for the changes
in the geographic adjustment factor and DRG classifications and relative weights,
an incremental budget neutrality adjustment of 0.9987 for FY 1997 should be applied
to the previous cumulative FY 1996 adjustment of 1.0025 (the product of the FY
1993 incremental adjustment of 0.9980, the FY 1994 incremental adjustment of 1.0053,
the FY 1995 incremental adjustment of 0.9998, and the FY 1996 incremental adjustment
of 0.9994), yielding a cumulative adjustment of 1.0012 through FY 1997. The methodology
used to determine the recalibration and geographic (DRG/GAF) budget neutrality
adjustment factor is similar to that used in establishing budget neutrality adjustments
under the prospective payment system for operating costs. One difference is that
under the operating prospective payment system, the budget neutrality adjustments
for the effect of geographic reclassifications are determined separately from
the effects of other changes in the hospital wage index and the DRG relative weights.
Under the capital prospective payment system, there is a single DRG/GAF budget
neutrality adjustment factor for changes in the geographic adjustment factor (including
geographic reclassification) and the DRG relative weights. In addition, there
is no adjustment for the effects that geographic reclassification has on the other
payment parameters, such as the payments for serving low income patients or the
large urban add-on. In addition to computing the DRG/GAF budget neutrality adjustment
factor, we used the model to simulate total payments under the prospective payment
system. Additional payments under the exceptions process are accounted for through
a reduction in the Federal and hospital-specific rates. Therefore, we used the
model to calculate the exceptions reduction factor. This exceptions reduction
factor ensures that aggregate payments under the capital prospective payment system,
including exceptions payments, are projected to equal the aggregate payments that
would have been made under the capital prospective payment system without an exceptions
process. Since changes in the level of the payment rates change the level of payments
under the exceptions process, the exceptions reduction factor must be determined
through iteration. In the August 30, 1991 final rule (56 FR 43517), we indicated
that we would publish each year the estimated payment factors generated by the
model to determine payments for the next 5 years. The table below provides the
actual factors for FY 1992, FY 1993, FY 1994, FY 1995, FY 1996, the final FY 1997
factor, and the estimated factors that would be applicable through FY 2001. We
caution that, except with respect to FY 1992, FY 1993, FY 1994, FY 1995, FY 1996
and FY 1997, these are estimates only, and are subject to revisions resulting
from continued methodological refinements, more recent data, and any payment policy
changes that may occur. In this regard, we note that in making these projections
we have assumed that the cumulative DRG/GAF adjustment factor will remain at 1.0012
for FY 1997 and later because we do not have sufficient information to estimate
the change that will occur in the factor for years after FY 1997. The projections
are as follows: [[Page 46323]] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Federal Update Exceptions Budget rate (after Fiscal year factor reduction neutrality
outlier) factor factor reduction) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1992........................................................ N/A 0.9813 0.9602
415.59 1993........................................................ 6.07 .9756
.9162 \1\ 417.29 1994........................................................
3.04 .9485 .8947 \2\ 378.34 1995........................................................
3.44 .9734 .8432 \3\ 376.83 1996........................................................
1.20 .9849 N/A \4\ 461.96 1997........................................................
0.70 .9358 N/A \5\ 438.92 1998........................................................
1.20 .9121 N/A 432.94 1999........................................................
1.20 .9206 N/A 442.22 2000........................................................
1.30 9148 N/A 445.15 2001........................................................
1.30 \6\ N/A N/A 492.93 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ Note: Includes the DRG/GAF adjustment factor of 0.9980 and the change in the
outlier adjustment from 0.9497 in FY 1992 to 0.9496 in FY 1993. \2\ Note: Includes
the 7.4 percent reduction in the unadjusted standard Federal rate. Also includes
the DRG/GAF adjustment factor of 1.0033 and the change in the outlier adjustment
from 0.9496 in FY 1993 to 0.9454 in FY 1994. \3\ Note: Includes the DRG/GAF adjustment
factor of 1.0031 and the change in the outlier adjustment from 0.9454 in FY 1994
to 0.9414 in FY 1995. \4\ Note: Includes the transfer adjustment of .9972. Also
includes the DRG/GAF adjustment factor of 1.0025 and the change in the outlier
adjustment from 0.9414 in FY 1995 to 0.9536 in FY 1996. \5\ Note: Includes the
DRG/GAF adjustment factor of 1.0012 and the change in the outlier adjustment from
0.9536 in FY 1996 to 0.9481 in FY 1997. Future adjustments are, for purposes of
this projection, assumed to remain at the same level. \6\ Note: We are unable
to estimate exceptions payments for the year under the special exceptions provision
(Sec. 412.348(g) of the regulations) because the regular exceptions provision
(Sec. 412.348(e)) expires.
Go to Top
Appendix C: Rebased Market Basket Data Sources
I. Data Sources Used to Determine the Market Basket Relative Weights and Choice
of Price Proxy Variables for the Operating Hospital Input Price Indexes As discussed
in section IV of the preamble to this final rule, we are rebasing and revising
the hospital market baskets. This appendix describes the technical features of
the 1992-based indexes that we are implementing in this rule. For both the prospective
payment and excluded hospital market baskets, the differences between the 1992-
based market basket and the previous 1987-based market basket are noted. In the
September 4, 1990 final rule (55 FR 36170), we discussed in detail the 1987-based
hospital market baskets. We present this description of the hospital operating
market baskets in three steps: <bullet> A synopsis of the structural differences
between the 1987- based market baskets and the proposed 1992-based market baskets.
<bullet> A description of the methodology used to develop the cost category
weights in the 1992-based market baskets, making note of the differences from
the methodology used to develop the 1987-based market baskets. <bullet>
A description of the data sources used to measure price change for each component
of the 1992-based market baskets, making note of the differences from the price
proxies used in the 1987-based hospital market baskets. A. Synopsis of Structural
Changes Adopted in the Rebased 1992 Operating Hospital Market Baskets. Three major
structural differences exist between the 1987-based and the 1992-based operating
hospital market baskets. <bullet> The 1992-based hospital market baskets
are based on more recent hospital expenditure data. The 1987-based market baskets
contained skeletal cost shares that were derived from the 1987 cost data from
the 1988 Annual Survey of the American Hospital Association (AHA). The 1992-based
market baskets use data from the hospital cost reports for cost reporting periods
beginning on or after October 1, 1991 and before October 1, 1992. <bullet>
Some cost categories have been combined, namely Fuel, Oil, Coal, and Other Fuel
with Motor Gasoline, and Blood Services with Chemicals. These category mergers
reflect the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reclassification decisions in the
1987 update of the BEA Input-Output Tables. <bullet> In the 1992-based market
basket, the sample of excluded hospitals is restricted to more closely reflect
the average Medicare length of stay in excluded hospitals. We
have used cost report data for excluded hospitals from only those hospitals in
which the average length of stay of Medicare patients in the
hospital is within 15 percent of the average length of stay of all patients in
the hospital to more accurately reflect the structure of costs for Medicare
cases. This is a change from the FY 1987-based market basket, for which data from
all excluded hospitals were used. B. Methodology for Developing the Cost Category
Weights. Cost category weights for the 1992-based market baskets were developed
in four stages. First, base weights for three (Wages and Salaries, Employee Benefits,
Pharmaceuticals) of the six main categories were derived from the 1992 Medicare
cost reports for operating costs. Second, the weight for Nonmedical Professional
Fees was developed by subtracting Medical Professional Fees reported in the Hospital
Cost Report Information System (HCRIS) file from AHA Annual Survey Total Professional
Fees to obtain Nonmedical Professional Fees, and the weight for Professional Liability
Insurance was developed using 1989 HCRIS data trended forward to 1992, using the
relative importance values in the previous market baskets. Third, the sum of Wages
and Salaries, Employee Benefits, Pharmaceuticals, Nonmedical Professional Fees,
and Professional Liability Insurance was subtracted from total expenses to obtain
All Other Expenses. Finally, the weight for All Other Expenses was divided into
subcategories using cost shares from the 1987 Input-Output Table for the hospital
industry, produced by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis,
aged to 1992 using price changes. As of this writing the Department of Commerce
has not released final 1992 cost data. Therefore we plan to incorporate these
data into the FY 1998 proposed rule. Below, we describe the source of the six
main category weights and their subcategories in the 1992-based market [[Page
46324]] baskets. We make note of the differences between the methodologies used
to develop the 1987-based and the 1992-based market baskets. 1. Wages and Salaries
The cost weight for the Wages and Salaries category was derived using the 1992
Medicare cost reports. Contract Labor, which is also derived
from the 1992 Medicare cost reports, is split between the Wages
and Salaries and Employee Benefits cost categories, using the relationship for
employed workers. Examples of Contract Labor are registered nurses and workers
in hospital food service or security who are employed and paid by firms that contract
for their work with the hospital. The Wages and Salaries cost category was disaggregated
into nine occupational subcategories (professional and technical, managers and
administration, sales, clerical, craft and kindred, operatives excluding transport,
transport equipment operatives, nonfarm laborers and service workers) to reflect
the mix of occupational inputs used by hospitals. The Contract Labor wages and
salaries component was allocated proportionally to Professional-Technical and
Service occupations. The 1987-based weights were developed from the 1987 Current
Population Survey, while the 1992-based weights were developed from the 1992 Current
Population Survey. 2. Employee Benefits The cost weight for the employee benefits
category was derived from the 1992 cost reports. Like wages and salaries, the
employee benefit weight in each 1992-based market basket is a composite of nine
labor subcategories. The employee benefits categories in the 1987-based market
baskets were developed from the 1987 AHA Annual Survey and used the 1987 Current
Population Survey. In 1987 Contract Labor's implied fringe benefits were allocated
proportionally to Professional and Technical occupations, while in 1992 they were
allocated to Professional-Technical and Service occupations. 3. Nonmedical Professional
Fees The cost weight for the nonmedical professional fees category was derived
from the 1992 Medicare Cost Reports and AHA Annual Survey data.
Total professional fees were split into the subcategories medical and other (nonmedical)
fees using AHA Total Professional Fees minus HCRIS Medical Professional Fees to
equal Nonmedical Professional Fees. The 1987-based nonmedical professional fees
cost category was derived from the 1987 AHA Annual Survey and American Medical
Association (AMA) data. It was split into the subcategories medical and other
fees using data derived from the American Medical Association. The medical professional
fees category is excluded from the hospital market basket since it is paid under
Medicare Part B. 4. Professional Liability Insurance The 1987-based
market baskets have weights for professional liability insurance that were derived
from the June 30 and December 31, 1987 HAS/Monitrend surveys. The cost weight
for the 1992-based professional liability insurance category was derived from
1989 HCRIS cost shares trended to 1992 using the change in the relative importance
factor for professional liability insurance (malpractice) from the previous 1987-based
prospective payment hospital and excluded hospital market baskets. 5. Utilities
For the 1987-based market baskets, the cost weight for utilities was derived by
extrapolating the 1985 AHA Annual Survey utilities cost weight forward to 1987
using the rate of growth in the HAS/Monitrend cost weight for utilities between
1985 and 1987. The 1987 Utility subcategory weights were aged from their 1982-based
index subcategory weights using price changes from 1982 to 1987. The 1992-based
market basket cost weights for the subcategories (fuel, oil and gasoline; electricity;
natural gas; and water and sewage) were derived from the Bureau of Economic Analysis'
1987 Input-Output table for the hospital industry, aged forward to 1992 by price
changes and summed to a weight for utilities. 6. All Other Goods and Services
The all other goods and services category has more subcategories than any other
market basket category. Goods found in this category include: direct service food,
contract service food, pharmaceuticals, chemicals, medical instruments, photo
supplies, rubber and plastics, paper products, apparel, machinery and equipment
and miscellaneous products. Services found in this category include: business
services, computer services, transportation and shipping, telephone, postage,
other labor-intensive services, and other nonlabor-intensive services. The share
for pharmaceuticals was derived from the 1992 Medicare cost reports.
Relative shares for the other subcategories were derived from the 1987 Bureau
of Economic Analysis' Input-Output table for the hospital industry and were aged
forward to 1992 using price changes. C. Price Proxies Used To Measure Cost Category
Growth 1. Wages and Salaries For measuring price growth in the 1992-based market
basket, 10 price proxies are applied to the 9 occupational subcategories within
the wages and salaries component. As in the 1987-based market basket, the professional
and technical subcategory was split in half. An Employee Cost Index (ECI) for
hourly wages paid to civilian hospital workers was applied to one half. An ECI
of hourly wages and salaries paid to professional and technical workers in private
industry was applied to the other half of the professional and technical component.
The other eight occupations subcategories of the wages and salaries component
were proxied using ECIs for wages and salaries for private industry workers in
their respective occupational categories. 2. Employee Benefits The 1992-based
hospital market baskets use occupation-specific ECIs for employee benefits. The
distribution of weights and price proxies is the same as for wages and salaries
discussed above, but occupation- specific employee benefit ECIs replace occupation-specific
wages and salaries ECIs. The components are summed into a composite index, just
as was done for the 1987-based market basket. 3. Nonmedical Professional Fees
The ECI for compensation for professional and technical workers in private industry
is applied to this category. This is a revision from the 1987-based market basket
in which the ECI for wages and salaries for professional and technical workers
in private industry was used. 4. Fuel, Oil, and Gasoline The percentage change
in the price of refined petroleum products as measured by the Producer Price Index
(PPI) (Commodity Code #057) was applied to this component. This is a revision
from the 1987-based indexes in which the PPIs for Light Fuel Oil (Commodity Code
#0573) and Gasoline (Commodity Code #0571) were used. 5. Electricity The percentage
change in the price of commercial electric power as measured by the PPI (Commodity
Code #0542) was applied to this component. This is a revision from the 1987-based
indexes in [[Page 46325]] which the PPI for industrial power (Commodity Code #0543)
was used. 6. Natural Gas The percentage change in the price of gas fuels as measured
by the PPI (Commodity Code #0552) was applied to this component. This is a revision
from the 1987-based indexes in which the PPI for Natural Gas (Commodity Code #0531)
was used. 7. Water and Sewerage The percentage change in the price of water and
sewerage maintenance as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for all urban
consumers was applied to this component. The same price measure was used in the
1987-based market baskets. 8. Professional Liability Insurance The percentage
change in the hospital professional liability insurance price as estimated by
hospital industry professional liability insurance premium increase was applied
to this component. The same price measure was used in the 1987-based market baskets.
9. Pharmaceuticals The percentage change in the price of ethical preparations
as measured by the PPI (Commodity Code #0635) was applied to this variable. The
same price measure was used in the 1987-based market baskets. 10. Food, Direct
Purchases The percentage change in the price of processed foods and feeds as measured
by the PPI (Commodity Code #02) was applied to this component. The same price
measure was used in the 1987-based market baskets. 11. Food, Contract Services
The percentage change in the price of food purchased away from home as measured
by the CPI for all urban consumers was applied to this component. The same price
measure was used in the 1987-based market baskets. 12. Chemicals The percentage
change in the price of industrial chemical products as measured by the PPI (Commodity
Code #061) was applied to this component. The same price measure was used in the
1987-based market baskets. 13. Surgical and Medical Equipment The percentage change
in the price of medical and surgical instruments as measured by the PPI (Commodity
Code #1562) was applied to this component. The same price measure was used in
the 1987-based market baskets. 14. Photographic Supplies The percentage change
in the price of photographic supplies as measured by the PPI (Commodity Code #1542)
was applied to this component. The same price measure was used in the 1987-based
market baskets. 15. Rubber and Plastics The percentage change in the price of
rubber and plastic products as measured by the PPI (Commodity Code #07) was applied
to this component. The same price measure was used in the 1987-based market baskets.
16. Paper Products The percentage change in the price of converted paper and paperboard
products as measured by the PPI (Commodity Code #0915) was used. This is a revision
from the 1987-based indexes in which a weighted average of the percentage change
in the price of converted paper and paperboard products and the percentage change
in the price of paper excluding newsprint and packaging paper (Commodity Code
#091301) was used. 17. Apparel The percentage change in the price of apparel as
measured by the PPI (Commodity Code #381) was applied to this component. This
is a revision from the 1987-based indexes in which the PPI for textile house furnishings
(Commodity Code #0382) was used. 18. Minor Machinery and Equipment The percentage
change in the price of machinery and equipment as measured by the PPI (Commodity
Code #11) was applied to this component. The same price measure was used in the
1987-based market baskets. 19. Miscellaneous Products The percentage change in
the price of all finished goods as measured by the PPI was applied to this component.
The same price measure was used in the 1987-based market baskets. 20. Business
Services The ECI for compensation for workers in the business services industry
was applied to this component. This is a revision from the 1987-based indexes
in which the percentage change in the AHE for wages and salaries for production
and nonsupervisory workers in the business services industry as measured by the
Bureau of Labor Statistics (SIC Code 73) was used. 21. Computer and Data Processing
Services The percentage change in the AHE of production and nonsupervisory workers
engaged in firms furnishing computer data processing services (SIC Code 737) was
applied to this component. The same price measure was used in the 1987-based market
baskets. 22. Transportation and Shipping The percentage change in the transportation
component of the CPI for all urban consumers was applied to this component. The
same price measure was used in the 1987-based market baskets. 23. Telephone The
percentage change in the price of telephone services as measured by the CPI for
all urban consumers was applied to this component. The same price measure was
used in the 1987-based market baskets. 24. Postage The percentage change in the
price of postage as measured by the CPI for all urban consumers was applied to
this component. The same price measure was used in the 1987-based market baskets.
25. All Other Services, Labor Intensive The percentage change in the ECI for compensation
paid to service workers employed in private industry was applied to this component.
This is a revision from the 1987-based indexes in which the ECI for wages and
salaries paid to service workers employed in private industry was used. 26. All
Other Services, Nonlabor Intensive The percentage change in the all-items component
of the CPI for all urban consumers was applied to this component. The same price
measure was used in the 1987-based market baskets. For further discussion of the
rationale for choosing specific price proxies, we refer the reader to the September
3, 1986 final rule (51 FR 31582).
Go to Top
II. Data Sources Used to Determine the Cost
Category Weights and Vintage Weights, and Choices of Price Proxy Variables for
the Hospital Capital Input Price Index In the preamble to this final rule, we
discuss the rebasing of the capital input price index (CIPI). This appendix describes
certain technical features of the 1992-based index, as well as differences between
the 1992-based CIPI and the 1987-based CIPI. We discussed [[Page 46326]] the 1987-based
CIPI in the September 1, 1995 final rule (60 FR 45817.) This discussion has the
following three parts: <bullet> A synopsis of the differences between the
1987-based CIPI and the 1992-based CIPI. <bullet> A description of the methodology
used to develop the cost category weights and vintage weights in the 1992-based
CIPI, making note of the differences from the methodology used to develop the
1987- based CIPI. <bullet> A description of the data sources used to measure
price change for each component of the 1992-based CIPI, making note of the differences
from the price proxies used in the 1987-based CIPI. A. Synopsis of Changes Adopted
in the Rebased 1992 CIPI We made no structural changes in the 1992-based CIPI.
The only major change is the use of more recent hospital capital expenditure data.
The 1987-based CIPI contained cost category weights that were derived from 1987
Medicare cost report data and the 1987 Annual Survey of the AHA.
The 1992-based CIPI uses data from the hospital Medicare cost
reports for cost periods beginning between October 1, 1991 and September 30, 1992.
The 1992-based CIPI also uses data from the 1992 Annual Survey of the AHA. The
1987-based CIPI contained vintage weights that were derived from 1987 Medicare
cost report data, the 1963-1987 Panel Survey of the AHA, and the 1980-1989 Securities
Data Corporation data on hospital bonds. The 1992-based CIPI uses data from the
1992 Medicare cost reports, the 1963-1992 Panel Survey of the
AHA, and 1980-1992 Securities Data Corporation data on hospital bonds. B. Methodology
for Developing Cost Category Weights and Vintage Weights for the 1992-based CIPI
There are five cost categories in the CIPI: Building and fixed equipment depreciation,
movable equipment depreciation, capital-related interest expense from government/nonprofit
debt instruments, capital- related interest expense from for-profit debt instruments,
and other capital-related expenses, such as taxes and insurance. The methodology
for developing each of these cost category weights is described below: 1. Building
and Fixed Equipment Depreciation The 1992-based cost weight for building and fixed
equipment depreciation was derived using the 1992 Medicare cost
reports. The proportion of lease expenses attributable to building and fixed equipment
was included in the cost weight based on the proportion of overall capital expenses
allocated to building and fixed equipment depreciation. The 1987-based weight
was developed from the 1987 Medicare cost reports and the 1987
AHA Annual Survey. 2. Movable Equipment Depreciation The 1992-based cost weight
for movable equipment depreciation was derived using the 1992 Medicare
Cost Reports. The proportion of lease expenses attributable to movable equipment
was included in the cost weight based on the proportion of overall capital expenses
allocated to movable equipment depreciation. The 1987-based weight was developed
from the 1987 Medicare cost reports and the 1987 AHA Annual Survey.
3. Government/Nonprofit Interest The 1992-based cost weight for government/nonprofit
interest was derived using the 1992 AHA Annual Survey data. The government/nonprofit
interest is 85 percent of total interest, reflecting the relative debts of the
government/nonprofit hospital sector and the for-profit hospital sector. The proportion
of lease expenses attributable to government/ nonprofit interest was included
in the cost weight based on the proportion of overall capital expenses allocated
to government/non- profit interest expense. The 1987-based weight was developed
from the 1987 AHA Annual Survey. 4. For-Profit Interest The 1992-based cost weight
of for-profit interest was derived using the 1992 AHA Annual Survey data. The
for-profit interest is 15 percent of total interest, reflecting the relative debts
of the government/ nonprofit hospital sector and the for-profit hospital sector.
The proportion of lease expenses attributable to for-profit interest was included
in the cost weight based on the proportion of overall capital expenses allocated
to for-profit interest expense. The 1987-based weight was developed from the 1987
AHA Annual Survey. 5. Other Capital-Related Expenses The 1992-based cost weight
for other capital-related expenses was derived using 1992 Medicare
cost reports. The proportion of lease expenses attributable to other capital-related
expenses was included in the cost weight based on the proportion of overall capital
expenses allocated to other capital-related expenses. The 1987-based weight was
developed from the 1987 Medicare cost reports and the 1987 Capital
Expenditure Survey. 6. There are three sets of vintage weights in the CIPI Building
and fixed equipment depreciation, movable equipment depreciation, and interest
expense. The methodology for developing each of these vintage weights is described
below. a. Building and Fixed Equipment: The 1992-based building and fixed equipment
vintage weights were derived from the 1992 Medicare cost reports
and the 1963-1992 AHA Panel Survey. The 1987-based weights were developed from
the 1987 Medicare cost reports and the 1963-1987 AHA Panel Survey.
b. Movable Equipment: The 1992-based movable equipment vintage weights were derived
from the 1992 Medicare cost reports and the 1963- 1992 AHA Panel
Survey. The 1987-based weights were developed from the 1987 Medicare
cost reports and the 1963-1987 AHA Panel Survey. c. Capital-Related Interest:
The 1992-based movable equipment vintage weights were derived from the 1980-1992
Securities Data Corporation data on hospital bonds and the 1963-1992 AHA Panel
Survey. The 1987-based weights were developed from the 1980-1989 Securities Data
Corporation data on hospital bonds and the 1963-1987 AHA Panel Survey. C. Price
Proxies Used to Measure Cost Category Growth in the CIPI 1. Building and Fixed
Equipment Depreciation The percentage change in the vintage-weighted price of
building and fixed equipment depreciation as measured by the Boeckh institutional
construction index was applied to this category in the 1992-based CIPI. The same
price proxy was used in the 1987-based CIPI. 2. Movable Equipment Depreciation
The percentage change in the vintage-weighted price of movable equipment depreciation
as measured by the Producer Price Index (PPI) for machinery and equipment was
applied to this category in the 1992- based CIPI. The same price proxy was used
in the 1987-based CIPI. 3. Government/Nonprofit Interest Expense The percentage
change in the vintage-weighted price of government/ nonprofit interest expense
as measured by the Average yield on Domestic Municipal Bonds from the Bond Buyer
index of 20 bonds was applied to this category in [[Page 46327]] the 1992-based
CIPI. The same price proxy was used in the 1987-based CIPI. 4. For-Profit Interest
Expense The percentage change in the vintage-weighted price of for-profit interest
expense as measured by the Average yield on Moody's Aaa Bonds was applied to this
category in the 1992-based CIPI. The same price proxy was used in the 1987-based
CIPI. 5. Other Capital-Related Expenses The percentage change in the price of
other capital-related expenses as measured by the CPI for all urban consumers
for residential rent was applied to this category in the 1992-based CIPI. The
same price proxy was used in the 1987-based CIPI. We provided more detailed discussion
of the rationale for the choice of these price proxies in the June 2, 1995 proposed
rule (60 FR 29227) and in the September 1, 1995 final rule (60 FR 45815).
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Appendix D: Recommendation of Update Factors
for Operating Cost Rates of Payment for Inpatient Hospital Services I. Background
Several provisions of the Social Security Act (the Act) address the setting of
update factors for inpatient services furnished in FY 1997 by hospitals subject
to the prospective payment system and those excluded from the prospective payment
system. Section 1886(b)(3)(B)(i)(XII) of the Act sets the FY 1997 percentage increase
in the operating cost standardized amounts equal to the rate of increase in the
hospital market basket minus 0.5 percentage points for prospective payment hospitals
in all areas. Section 1886(b)(3)(B)(iv) of the Act sets the FY 1997 percentage
increase in the hospital- specific rates applicable to sole community hospitals
equal to the rate set forth in section 1886(b)(3)(B)(i) of the Act, that is, the
same update factor as all other hospitals subject to the prospective payment system,
or the rate of increase in the market basket minus 0.5 percentage points. Section
1886(b)(3)(B)(ii) of the Act sets the FY 1997 percentage increase in the rate
of increase limits for hospitals excluded from the prospective payment system
equal to the rate of increase in the excluded hospital market basket minus the
applicable reduction or, in the case of a hospital in a fiscal year for which
the hospital's update adjustment percentage is at least 10 percent, the excluded
hospital market basket percentage increase. Under section 1886(b)(3)(B)(v) of
the Act, a hospital's update adjustment percentage increase for FY 1997 is the
percentage increase by which the hospital's allowable operating costs of inpatient
hospital services recognized under this title for the cost reporting period beginning
in FY 1990 exceed the hospital's target amount for such cost reporting period,
increased for each fiscal year (beginning with FY 1994) by the sum of any of the
hospital's applicable reductions for previous years. The applicable reduction
with respect to a hospital for FY 1997 is the lesser of 1 percentage point or
the percentage point difference between 10 percent and the hospital's update adjustment
percentage for FY 1997. In accordance with section 1886(d)(3)(A) of the Act, we
are updating the standardized amounts, the hospital-specific rates, and the rate-of-increase
limits for hospitals excluded for the prospective payment system as provided in
section 1886(b)(3)(B) of the Act. Based on the second quarter 1996 forecast of
the FY 1997 rebased market basket increase of 2.5 percent for hospitals subject
to the prospective payment system, the updates in the standardized amounts are
2.0 percent for hospitals in both large urban and other areas. The update in the
hospital-specific rate applicable to sole community hospitals is 2.0 percent (that
is, the market basket rate of increase of 2.5 percent minus 0.5 percentage points).
The update for hospitals excluded from the prospective payment system is based
on the percentage increase in the excluded hospital market basket (currently estimated
at 2.5 percent) minus the applicable reduction factor. The applicable reduction
factor is the lesser of 1 percentage point or the percentage point difference
between 10 percent and the hospital's update adjustment percentage. Therefore,
for excluded hospitals, the hospital- specific update can vary between 1.5 and
2.5 percent. Sections 1886(e)(2)(A) and (3)(A) of the Act require that the Prospective
Payment Assessment Commission (ProPAC) recommend to the Congress by March 1 of
each year an update factor that takes into account changes in the market basket
rate of increase index, hospital productivity, technological and scientific advances,
the quality of health care provided in hospitals, and long-term cost effectiveness
in the provision of inpatient hospital services. Section 1886(e)(4) of the Act
requires that the Secretary, taking into consideration the recommendations of
ProPAC, recommend update factors for each fiscal year that take into account the
amounts necessary for the efficient and effective delivery of medically appropriate
and necessary care of high quality. Under section 1886(e)(5) of the Act, we published
the FY 1996 update factors recommended under section 1886(e)(4) of the Act as
Appendix E of the May 31, 1996 final rule (61 FR 27591).
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II. Secretary's Final Recommendation for
Updating the Prospective Payment System Standardized Amounts We did not receive
any public comments concerning our proposed recommendation. Therefore, our final
recommendation will be the same as our proposed recommendation. That is, we are
recommending that the standardized amounts be increased by an amount equal to
the market basket rate of increase minus 1.5 percentage points for hospitals located
in large urban and other areas. We are also recommending an update of the market
basket rate of increase minus 1.5 percentage points to the hospital-specific rate
for sole community hospitals. These figures are consistent with the President's
budget recommendation. In recommending these increases, we have followed section
1886(e)(4) of the Act, which requires that we take into account the amounts necessary
for the efficient and effective delivery of medically appropriate and necessary
care of high quality. In addition, as required by section 1886(e)(4) of the Act,
we have taken into consideration the recommendations of ProPAC. We believe our
analyses, which measure changes in hospital productivity, scientific and technological
advances, practice pattern changes, and changes in case mix, support our recommendations.
These figures are consistent with the President's FY 1997 budget recommendation,
which continues the reductions imposed by section 13501 of the Omnibus Budget
Reconciliation Act of 1993 (Public Law 103-66), that is, reductions in the hospital
market basket of 2.5 percentage points for FYs 1994 and 1995 and 2.0 percentage
points for FY 1996. We believe these recommended changes in the update factor
would ensure that Medicare acts as a prudent purchaser and provide
incentives to hospitals for increased efficiency, thereby contributing to the
solvency of the Medicare Part A Trust Fund. When the President's
budget was submitted, the market basket rate of increase was projected at 3.6
percent. As noted above, our final recommendation is based on the most recent
forecast of the rebased market basket. (See section IV of the [[Page 46328]] preamble
to this final rule for a detailed discussion of the market basket.)
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III. Secretary's Final Recommendation for
Updating the Rate-of-Increase Limits for Excluded Hospitals and Units Our final
recommendation is that hospitals and hospital units excluded from the prospective
payment system receive an update equal to percentage increase in the rebased market
basket that measures input price increases for services furnished by excluded
hospitals minus 1.5 percentage points. Thus, given the current estimate of the
change in the market basket rate of increase for excluded hospitals of 2.5 percent
(compared with the earlier estimate of 2.7 percent used in the proposed rule),
our final recommendation is for an update of 1.0 percent. This recommendation
is consistent with the President's budget, acknowledging that the market basket
rate of increase for these hospitals was forecast at 3.6 percent at the time the
budget was submitted. [FR Doc. 96-22145 Filed 8-28-96; 8:45 am] BILLING CODE 4120-03-P